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Potential Impact: Outdated Inflation Figures in New FAFSA Could Reduce Aid for Millions of Students

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New FAFSA Launch May Result in Reduced Financial Aid for Students

The upcoming launch of a simplified Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA) by the end of the month raises concerns as it may include outdated inflation figures, potentially leading to reduced financial aid for students. Higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz warns that this could result in families having to pay thousands of additional dollars for college expenses. While the exact number of impacted students is difficult to quantify, financial aid consultant Kalman Chany suggests that millions of students could receive less aid. The new FAFSA form utilizes the "Student Aid Index" to estimate a family's affordability, but it relies on old consumer price index figures from 2020 that fail to account for recent inflation.

Failure to Update SAI Tables

The U.S. Department of Education is required to update the Student Aid Index (SAI) tables annually based on the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, as stipulated by the Consolidated Appropriations Act. However, this year, the Secretary of Education failed to make those updates in time. The Department of Education has stated that it does not plan to update the tables this year but will do so for the 2025-26 aid cycle. This failure to account for high inflation in recent years has resulted in significantly understated figures.

Impact on Different Income Groups

The failure to make inflationary adjustments will affect all families of four in this application cycle with adjusted available income over $35,000. Middle and higher-income students will be hit the hardest, while lower-income students, whose expected family contribution was already $0, will experience less of an effect. For example, a typical family in New York with an adjusted available income of $100,000 could see their expected contribution rise to $12,943 instead of $9,162, resulting in a nearly $4,000 reduction in aid.

Challenges and Complications

The FAFSA simplification was intended to expand eligibility, but this oversight in the formula, along with other changes such as the elimination of the "sibling discount" for families with multiple children in college, adds to the challenges faced by middle-income families. Experts warn that this is just the latest complication in a process that has already caused confusion and frustration. The delayed launch of the online form, scheduled for December 31, is expected to bring additional issues, making the process more cumbersome and complex. In conclusion, the new FAFSA launch with outdated inflation figures raises concerns about reduced financial aid for students. The failure to update the SAI tables and account for recent inflation could have a significant impact on middle and higher-income students. The complications and changes in the FAFSA process add to the challenges faced by families, making the application process more burdensome.

Implications of New FAFSA Launch for New Businesses

The imminent launch of the simplified Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA) may have significant implications for new businesses, particularly those in the education sector. The new FAFSA, which could include outdated inflation figures, may result in reduced financial aid for students, potentially affecting their ability to afford higher education.

Understanding the Potential Impact

The new FAFSA form's reliance on old consumer price index figures from 2020 that don't account for recent inflation could lead to an underestimation of a family's affordability. This could result in families having to pay thousands of additional dollars for college expenses, potentially affecting millions of students. For new businesses in the education sector, this could mean a decrease in the number of students able to afford their services or products.

Failure to Update SAI Tables: A Missed Opportunity

The U.S. Department of Education's failure to update the Student Aid Index (SAI) tables in time for the new FAFSA launch could be seen as a missed opportunity for new businesses. This failure to account for high inflation in recent years could have provided new businesses with a more accurate picture of the market and the financial capabilities of their potential customers.

Challenges Ahead for New Businesses

The complications and changes in the FAFSA process, such as the elimination of the "sibling discount" for families with multiple children in college, could create further challenges for new businesses. These changes could lead to confusion and frustration among potential customers, making it more difficult for new businesses to attract and retain customers. In essence, the new FAFSA launch with outdated inflation figures could pose significant challenges for new businesses in the education sector. Understanding these challenges and adapting to the changing market conditions will be crucial for these businesses to succeed.
Story First Published at: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/06/new-fafsa-may-launch-with-old-inflation-data-resulting-in-less-college-aid.html
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