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Alphabet Downgraded by Bernstein Due to Increasing Competition
Bernstein Downgrades Alphabet
According to Bernstein, it's time for investors to pull back from Alphabet as the competition increases. The tech giant has been downgraded by Bernstein from outperform to market perform, with a $125 per share price target, which represents roughly a 6% upside over the next year. Moreover, Bernstein's downgrade follows a similar move from UBS, which cited similar concerns.
Risks to Alphabet's Future Performance
Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik said that Alphabet's more than 31% rise this year could be jeopardized due to multiple factors that threaten its future growth. Besides AI, he stated that several risk factors include increasing competition from retail media and Meta, along with Gen AI (technology that can mimic human intelligence and behavior) pressure cap on short-term search growth.
Gen AI Integration into Core Search Results
Shmulik further added that Alphabet might be trying too hard to combine Gen AI into its primary search business, which could create an air pocket on search ad pricing. The firm's aggressive push into this technology integration could be causing this issue.
Possible Impact of Alphabet's High Valuation
Shmulik also mentioned that Alphabet's overvaluation could impact its growth prospects. Numerous investors and sell-siders believe that the company's stock is fairly valued and provides a balanced risk/reward. However, Alphabet's narrative has quickly caught up with fundamentals, leading to a 40% stock rise from November lows.
Alphabet's significant rise this year could be under threat due to its valuation, increasing competition, and Gen AI integration into core search business. Therefore, Bernstein recommends investors to pull back from Alphabet, and instead seek other profitable ventures.
The downgrade of Alphabet by Bernstein due to increasing competition provides insight into how competitive the tech industry is. This conclusion offers a "hot take" that this news should be a warning to new businesses in the tech industry. The risks identified in the article pose a significant threat to a new business. They should consider if the industry has saturated or is saturated to determine if there is a market for their product and service. Regarding Gen AI technology, the addition of this technology into their product or service may allow for smoother integration and productivity; however, aggressively pushing it may cause issues with pricing and performance. New businesses should consider how they implement technology into their operations and products. They should also assess their valuation and make sure both their narrative and fundamentals align. This news emphasizes that the tech industry requires innovation and adaptation to succeed. New businesses need to remain diligent to avoid the same pitfalls that Alphabet is facing today.